Mycket har diskuterats och skrivits om de ökade farhågorna kring kärnvapen inom ramen för Rysslands fullskaliga aggression mot Ukraina – början på en ny strategisk era, som förmodligen är mycket mindre stabil än tidigare perioder. Oron finns också för …
Kategoriarkiv: Avskräckning
The world after Feb 24, 2022: The dilemma of (“successful”) deterrence, Cases of Ukraine and Middle East
Deterrence in the context of contemporary geo-political turbulence, i.e., “successful deterrence”, is an indispensable key to peace and security (in the absence of common values and norms and interests), but as demonstrated by experiences and lessons l…
Nuclear weapons related reserarch in Finland and Sweden – What do we need?
Finland and Sweden have finally joined the North Atlantic alliance NATO and have pledged to be loyal, constructive and reliable partners. What both nations sought was full Article 5 security, including protection against nuclear threats, intimidation a…
Förväntningar och förhoppningar inför Försvarsberedningens rapport
Försvarsberedningen har den viktiga men samtidigt idag nästan oändligt svåra uppgiften att föreslå en klok politisk inriktning för det svenska totalförsvarets utveckling. Förslaget kommer att presenteras den 26 april. Försvarsberedningshistorik – enigh…
Will Strategic Stability Between the West and Russia Require Arms Control?
Arguably, there is a need to connect the dots between four somewhat separate discourses: military rearmament in Russia, conditions for peace in Ukraine, rebuilding defense in the West and prospects for future arms control. A recent article posted by th…
On the issue of resilience, deterrence and the readiness to accept casualties
The West needs to speak even more openly about its resilience – also in view of the need to promote deterrence – and instill a greater level of urgency in implementing decisions about civil defense and preparedness. The Russian readiness to escalate th…
Making assumptions about the future of Russia and the Russian war against Ukraine – the nuclear factor
Assumptions about the global implications of the war are important for every enterprise or person involved in cooperative or other relationships worldwide. In this context, it is necessary also for those not following in detail the military development…