Europe faces a collective action problem. There is growing recognition in Europe that the Euro-Atlantic community is confronted with an existential security threat from Russia – one which may last a generation or more and which could result in armed co…
Kategoriarkiv: Russia
Europe Must Urgently Prepare to Deter Russia Without Large-Scale US Support
NATO’s European members must ramp up investment in ammunition production and focus military training and force structures against key mission sets to credibly deter Russia from exploiting a clash between the US and China in the late 2020s as an opportu…
A Primer on Security Guarantees in the Context of the Russian war against Ukraine War and Implications for NATO, the EU and Sweden
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has sparked complex debates about security arrangements, international guarantees, and the future of European defense cooperation. This primer touches briefly on the current military balance, potential security framework…
Hostomel 2022
“Sedan det ryska angreppet på Ukraina 2022 har det svenska försvars- och säkerhetspolitiska läget fundamentalt förändrats. Försvarsmakten och armén måste därför snarast utvecklas och transformeras för att anpassas till denna nya kontext.” – Major-Gener…
The European Union in the ‘Brooding Shadow of War’
‘The state among states, it is often said, conducts its affairs in the brooding shadow of violence. Because some states may at any time use force, all states must be prepared to do so – or live at the mercy of their militarily more vigorous neighbours….
The Syrian revolution, Phase 2: Irael and Turkey seizes the opportunity
Perhaps it can be debated whether “revolution” is a useful description of recent days’ astonishing events in crisis-ridden Syria, after all these years of devastating warfare, but regardless of label it is clear to everyone that rarely in the history o…
Unmanned systems in Kursk – Shaping the Battlespace and denying the enemy access
The Ukrainian offensive into Kursk Oblast has taken many by surprise, especially the Russians. Not only because the operation was daring but also because it may have shown that it is still possible to surprise an adversary on an otherwise transparent b…
The evolution of unmanned systems in Ukraine
Although drones are on everyone’s lips, and some think that small unmanned aerial systems will lose their advantage soon[1], a lot is still happening regarding technical development and the evolution of tactical procedures that a modern military needs …
Moscow and Swedish NATO Accession
Russia’s geopolitical goals, its overall confrontation with the west, and its war against Ukraine will continue to be key to dimensioning Moscow’s military planning. Its rhetoric and threats are, however, what Russia has left in its arsenal to deter Sw…
US Perspectives on the EU in View of a Potential Second Trump Administration – Part 2
The importance of US-European security cooperation was highlighted after the 9/11 attacks, as European security became crucial for American non-military security. The US sought help from Europe in countering terrorism and organized crime, even introduc…
Lavrov in Skopje for the OSCE – Russia Playing for Time
”This organization (let’s face it) is on the brink of the abyss. Hence, a simple question: Does it make any sense to invest in any effort to revive it? Can it ever adapt to objective global realities and once again become a platform for addressing regi…
Approaching 2024: The anatomy of security concerns – Globally and regionally
As the problematic year 2023 storms towards its conclusion, carrying with it a flood of alarmist analyses in the international discourse with regards to the global and regional security situation, it would seem imperative to seek to specify the securit…
NATO’s commitment to new members will be tested by Baltic pipeline incident
Coping with multiple crises is a key skill in the new world disorder. A Baltic pipeline breach amid tragedy in the Middle East is a test of that ability. A breach of gas and data links between Finland and Estonia has been described as “deliberate”[1] -…